Exit polls give BJP the edge, Cong comes close

Even though most exit polls predict huge gains for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, the prospect of a hung Assembly stares at the state.

In Uttarakhand, which has 70 seats, three exit polls predicted a landslide win for the BJP. However, while the BJP is the lead, by and large polls are predicting a hung house scenario in all states.

After the staggering exercise of month-long Assembly polls across five states, the exit poll predictions on Thursday threw up varied outcomes. CSDS-Lokniti is the oldest pollster and is also considered the most reliable by many political analysts. The NewsX -MRC poll gave the BJP 185 seats, the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance 120 and the Bahujan Samaj Party 90.The Times Now-VMR poll gave the BJP between 190 and 210 seats, the SP-Congress combine between 110 and 130 seats and the BSP between 57 and 74 seats. The SP had conceded 105 seats to the Congress while keeping 298 for itself, after hectic negotiations.

The Congress could come second with 41-49 seats and the ruling Akali Dal-BJP combine was projected to finish with just 5-13 seats.

Expressing confidence of his party forming the next government in the state with a clear majority, Punjab Congress president Captain Amarinder Singh said that his party would attain a clear majority with 62-65 seats in its kitty. Any small swing can turn the results either way. Political experts and commentators have predicted their results and as per News X's MRC survey, BJP will win the state with 15 seats while Congress at 10 and AAP at 7 seats. India TV-C-Voter, however, predicted a BJP government with 25-31 seats. Thus, a hung assembly can not be ruled out here as well.

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The BJP could retain power in Goa, winning 18-22 seats in the 40-member assembly, an India Today-Axis My India exit poll said.

However, Manipur Elections 2017 exit poll by India Today-axis tells a different story.

Others may get 1-3 each in Kumaun and Garhwal and 0-3 seats in the plains.

If the majority of the exit polls are to be believed, the Modi mania continues to sweep Uttar Pradesh. In the 2017 elections, the AAP emerged as a third force on most seats.

In Uttarakhand, it gave the BJP a majority with 43 seats followed by the ruling Congress with 23. Of the 71 Assembly berths in Uttarakhand, India Today-Axis predicted a BJP sweep with 46-53 seats, giving 12-21 seats to the Congress.

  • Toni Ryan